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tv   Moyers Company  PBS  October 30, 2012 7:00pm-8:00pm PDT

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♪ this week on "moyers and company" -- >> every time there has been a campaign i have said, "ts is terrible., surely we'll learn from our mistakes and do better." >> what are they learning? big bird, binders and bayonets. one, two, three. >> and -- >> they were too big to fail in 2008. they were too big to jail in 209.0 >> announcer: funding is provided by -- carnegie corporation of new york, celebrating 100 years of philanthropy, and committed to doing real and permanent good in the world. the kohlberg foundation. independent production fund, with support from the partridge foundation, a john and polly guth charitable fund. the clements foundation. park foundation, dedicated to heightening public awareness of critical issues. the herb alpert foundation,
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supporting organizations whose mission is to promote compassion and creativity in our society. the bernard and audre rapoport the spring
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in order to appease rush limbaugh, ralph reed, grover norquist. >> you so let him off the hook. and i don't know why you do that. i feel as though that's what the media's frame for dealing with q the primaries is. "well, we all know that you have to appeal to the party'base in the primaries, and then you have to move to the center because that's just sometrtng that people have to do." why do we let people do that as though that dance was acceptable in a democratic society. >> oh no, i don't think you have to move to the center.t i'm only saying he chose to go that route in order -- because he thought he could only get the nomination that way. >> but why didn't you hold him accountable, not for just dalizing at he had at do it tactically, but that that is a really corrupt thg to do.o.
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inappropriate and disqualifying for leadership, as opposed to it's just what politicians have to be up to. isn't it sad, he's a nice guy. >> candidates do change positions. and the question is when is it consequential and when isn't it. and when does it become a behavioral pattern that means ou can't draw an inference about what the person is going to do when the person's going to govern? one of the questions that the electorate has the opportunity to ask in debates is precisely u that question because you have two different factors holding the candidate accountable. you have the questioning moderator and you have the other candidate. and in the head to head comparisons, if a candidate is vulnerable to the charge, if the candidate has changed positions a lot on consequential matters, you're going to have questions about it and you're going to have the opposing candidate make the argument. and then electorate then has to ask, "what do i make of this? who do i think the person is? what do i think the person is actually goi to do?" but they have more evidence than gey would have in the absence of debates, and that's the value of debat .
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>> but look at thbaway it plays out. romney y t say, "yes, i do have a deficit plan. go look on my website. it's there. it's true." which puts the burden on the audience. i wish they would go to your website because they won't find out the answer at mitt romney's website. >> but then we come to the , second part of the process that protects. you heard in the debates candidates saying, "that's not true. check the record. check the transcript," and an invitation essentially to go to ffact checkers and journalism. to the extent that this year we've had a lot of fact checkino in national journalism, a lot more than we've hain previous years. and we know now after the first three debates. last time i talked to you it was, it was only a hypothesis, that the people who said they went to the fact checking sites or went to journalism for fact checking on the web, were more likely to accurately be able to portray the candidates' positions and those exchanges in which somebody was alleging deception. romney, his plan largely doesn't add up. obama did not apologize around the world, if by apologize you mean said, "i'm sorry and i d apologize."
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what we haven't gotten to is a deper understanding of what obama was doing in those moments. i think he was doing something extremely important that we have not talked about, which is recalibrating our relationship to the rest of the world so that we would work collegially with allies in order to increase the likelihood that we were all on the same page when we moved, de sometimes militarily, sometimes with sanctions. >> the debates, as both of you know, are agreed to by the press on the terms set by the two parties through the presidential commission on debates. so, i think what we're getting are staged press conferences. not debates in the sense that you mean them when you wte your first book about them in politics. these are not debates in that sense, are they? >> no, they're not. and they're-- i suspect that if we tried to go back to debates in that sense, we would have trouble holding public ou attention. in a world in which publ attention span is being abbreviated daily, the likelihood i th k that you'd get people to watch an hour long presentation on one side with an
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hour yng response is probably g approaching zero. >> yes, mr. lincoln, you can go on your website and tell us what you think about slavery, right? >> but you've seen montage after montage of, for example, mitt romney's position on abortion. and when you see the montage, it's so clear that he has many positions. and you can do a timeline along with it and, and make the relationship between his bid for higher office to it. why can't a debate include the playing of such a clip and then say, "mr. romney, please respond to that," as opposed to the formality even of a conventional press cference in which e meone is free to duck. you can duck a question. it's much harder to duck evidence and a video.me >> but the parties and the candidates will not agree to that, unless you have it on their terms. >> which is why i am more dispirited, i think, than kathleen is because what you do get, even from this limited, signed on kabuki does still have some value, despite its limitations. i completely agree. >> but on abortion, here's what i think we can reasonably say reading history.
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what candidates say they will do in the general election of a presidential campaign and what they repeatedly say they're going to do does predict what they're going to try to do, regardless of what they've done in theirast or w wt they've said in the past. i would predict that if governor romney is elected president, he would support, nominate justices who would be more likely to overturn roe v. wade than would barack obama. i think that it is clear, t however, that he would not do anything to outlaw abortion in cases of rape, incest or life of the mother being endangered. i think we know that fm the exchanges to date. and so you can say he's had mor positions across time, and his position -- you can mark different points in the calendar across his life. , i do think that thpublic, by and large, perceives the fact that he has made more 180 degree turns than a whirling dervish. i read this comment online at "the washington post," a reader who said that, "romney has thrown limbaugh, rick perry,
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allen west and all the other tea party people under a freight train by essentially saying he would govern as president obama governs." that's what he, in effect, he said this past last debate. what about that? >> why would anyone believe that? yes, he said that and yes he did it to convey the impression that the old mitt romney fam the primaries was just something hm had to do to appease his tea party base.to why should you nowelieve that, if he gets elected, he will not be a prisoner of the eric cantors and, and the john boehners? and the right -- extreme right ting of his party that will force him to do stuff in president that he now says he'sf not going to do because he's in a general election campaign? a person who doesn't have a core, it strikes me, is susceptible to the same kind of pressure once in office, as when he was running to appeal to his base in the first place. >> but there is an underlying
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tendency here that's > recognizable. barack obama opposed a ndate nd in order to distinguish himself from hillary clinton. he has a mandate in his affordable care act. there always some movement toward the center in governance, as well as a move toward the center toward the general e election because of the nature of the two party system and the nature of divided governance. >> i'm not sure i would call what happened in the last couple of years a movement toward the center. i think of it as obama pl negotiating with himself with an intransigenright which used wh its power to hold the country hostage, rather than finding common ground. >> so, let's talk about what you did and didn't learn. you've watched the four debates now. do you have any idea of how rn governor romney would manage to cu income tax rates by 20% without increasing the deficit? or which tax deductions he would
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eliminate? or specifically, how he's going to create the 12 million j is he's promised? or what barack obama's going to do in his second term? do you have any sense of that? >> well, in the case of the 12 million jobs, as we know, you don't have to do anything and you'll get 12 million jobs. any number of economists and moody's analytics have predicted that simply by keeping present policies in place, 12 million jobs will be created over that period.s so it's not much of a boast. as for the tax policy, my guess is that he doesn't know and he is just saying this.s. he has said he wants to cut taxes -- rates by 20%. and i believe he does and would. but when you ask him why that won't be a $5 trillion increase in the deficit, he says -- and i ove the third person, "if mitt romney says there won't be an increase in the deficit, there won't be. that's why and how." >> i know how he could, because some of the studies he cites make assumptions that would let him become revenue neutral.
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he could take the major co deductions away from everyone making more than $100,000. that would effectively do it according to one of the studies. he could also eliminate the tax free status, the tax free municipal bonds. now that wouldose a real problem for municipalities. but he could. in other words, there are ways to get there. but not under the assumptions that he offers in his plan. i think -- >> involving hard choices and sacrifices, which you've talked about every time you've been on the show. >> but there's a second thing. we've been distracted by the discussion, how would he get to revenue neutrality? and as a result, not asked, how's he going to address the deficit because he has no revenue on the table if he gets to revenue neutrality. all he's done is not increase the deficit more than we already have. we should be focusing on, how do we address the deficit we already have, not worrying about whether he gets to revenue neutrality. obama wants us to worry about is he going to blow the deficit up even mor >> kath men, what were the big whoppers? enwhere did they cross the line? >> the incumbent always overestimates how much the incumbent has accomplished. and so, president obama wants to
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suggest that there have been more jobs created in net than an there have actually been created because he wants us to feel better about the economy than the data would actually warrant. governor romney wants to feature everything that's negative, without acknowledging anything that's posietve about the economy.ve and if people feature one of those indictments without picking up the other compensatory body of information, they don't have the whole picture. the reality is the onomic indicators right now are mixed. and you have a new obama ad on the air that's trying to feature the ones that are positive in order to increase the likelihood that you think about those as you ask whether or not the country is better off now than it would've been, had obama not been president. we were in a deep recession. and president obama's having the difficulty of having to make the argument that, "things are better than they would have been, had i not done what i have done." but they're still not what they
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ought to be. and that's a tough case for the incumbent. and governor romney's exploiting it every inch of the way. >> my favorite whopper was when paul ryan said that the reason that they don't want to say howt they will chan the loopholes is because they'll be attacked.h people will say mean things about them. and that democrats and republicans won't be able to work together. "joe biden is partisan but i, paul ryan, know what real bipartisanship is all about." this from the most ruthless, relentless, disciplined right wing unified front that i believe the nation has ever seen. this is the person who is saying, "bipartisanship is what we're all about. and you democrats don't understand what that means." >> yeah, but there's, there's one other thing. sometimes you sin by omission. and when the candidates suggest that their plans are going to bt sufficient to address the crisis that we are facing, the deficit debt crisis that we're fang,
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in an environment which we can't afford to tank the economy, they are implying something that's fundamentally false, given what thengve told us. president obama is telling us how he's going to get some extra revenue by tax increases. but he's not going to get enough that way.t and he hasn't specified the spending cuts. and governor romney's numbers don't work out either. so you've got both implying that my plan is sufficient, when in fact neither is sufficient. and that's the problem. when they translate that into governance, if they just do . exactly what they promised they're going do, we are in a real crisis. and long term, our country's got serious and unresolved problems. >> the voter out there only has a choice, therefore, betw tn two insufficient possibilities.n >> b they t know that governor romney will cut more and obama will tax more.th that's a certain inference. >> on your point, i was surprised that when paul ryan said what he did to joe biden that, you know, "we can work together."
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and when romney runs, romney has a new ad out sayinge can work better with congress than obama has, that somebody didn't point ut that this is an obstructionist republican ut majority in the house. >> i think that's because obama is in a trap. he has paintehimself into a corner, which makes him vulnerabin to the charge, which has been heard increasingly often, that you don't know what obama's going to do in his second term, that he doesn't have an agenda, that only the past he's willing to talk about, at was a failure. and he can't tell you because it's not going to be good.s i think the problem obama has is that he can tell part of the stor thanks to bill clinton, whichsts, "they gave me a problem and i stopped what theyy were doing. now you don't want to give it back to the people who caused the problem." but what he is not then able to do, which i wish he would do, is to say, "and the reason it was so hard for me to do as ch as i wanted, and the re aon i need your help, america, going forward, is that these people
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are going to fight us tooth and nail every step of the way.e and starting with dealing with this fiscal cliff in which ere's this terrible sequester deal, those people are holding the country hostage. i'm going to go to you, the country, and ask you to pressure your representatives, including the republicans, to make a deal, find common ground with us. and that's what it's going be like in the future." thobama has not made a convincio case that the way in which the non-part -- the way in whichhe bitter partisanship of the pasti would be different from the future. why wouldn't mitch mcconnell and john boehner be even more vicious toward him in the future, and ferociously so than they have been in the past? >> president obama and speaker boehner came very close to a deal that had both revenue and cuts on the table. in the first debate, we had kind of an ironic moment in which
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governor romney was both confirming that he would not put new revenue on the table and saying that he was going to be bipartisan and get a solution. you can't sit down with the democrats and say, "i'm going to be bipartisan," and not offer anything. what the republicans have to offer is revenue. and what the democrats have to offer is spending cuts. and in that grand bargain which fell apart because neither could appease their own base effectively, they had both cuts and revenue on the table. that's where we're going to have to go for a solution. my worry is the country doesn't know that's what's going to happen. >> kathleen, how would your experience differ ifou had watched on nbc, fox, pbs, cnn? did it make a difference which network you were watching? >> yes, the networks that held u much of the debate in split screen invited you to see the debate through the reaction of the candidate who wasn't speaking. >> and you think that's significant? >> i think it's significant because it minimizes the likelihood that you're hearing
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what's being said. and it's trying to create an interpretive fra in which, if someone is effective nonverbally, they can undercut the position of the other person without ever engaging in a rebuttal. you also saw on cnn, a running f commentary line indicating how men and women -- >> those squiggly lines? >> yes. >> the worm. >> how men a women -- - the worm. >> in some undefined space were reacting.wo and that invites you toay, "why am i deviating so much from the women whose lines are being tracked? why is it that men and women are diverging?" and in the meantime, you're noty hearing what's being said. most powerful o vehicle for lporning and we create sanuctures that distract from that, we're not doing a service. and ths e's one more.th people watching debates differently, they're watching debates onocial media about -- >> yeah, this was a big year for twitter. >> it's a huge year for social media, including twitter. and what that meas is we had about two-thirds of the electorate, two thirds of the adult population watching at least one debate. and about 20% of those watched while they were engaging in some form ofocial media. we have very tentative evidence that suggests that when you reported doing that, and we put
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all the controls in place, so education and age, all the tm ngs that might affect knowledge, your level of knowledge about the debates drops. that is, your ability to make at acurate distinctions drops -- >> how do you explain that? >> explain it because you're in fact being distracted. we all think we multitask well. and the best research says that we -- >> no longer. >> actually don't. >> i don't. >> and so, to the extent that you are focusing on something first, that commentary stream is framing things for you. so you're now seeing through someone else's lens or you're trying to create your own lens if you're the one who's tweeting, instead of engaging in the content. but secondly, you're being is distracted from the content. so as you're reacting, you're not processingseful se information. we have fundamentally, in this new social media environment, changed the way in which a discernible part of the population is absorbing content. and they're not getting as much out of the debates, we suect, ec as they might otherwise. whaare they learning? big bird, binders and bayonets. one, two, three. >> but consider the possibility that through social media, they are actually getting useful
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nformation. for example, during the fourth debate when mitt romney demonstrated that there was no difference between him and president obama on any issue, ex bill maher tweeted, "the same as the other guy, only i'm white," as a summary for what mitt romney's position is. and it struck me as a brilliant, ccise descriptici of how race is an undertipe in this election. and that going to romney is a safer choice for people who, at some level, have been made uncomfortable by this esident. that would never have been an element of the onscreen debate. arguably, it's, it's an irrelevat.y to what was going on. but i would contend that it's entirely relevant to the conduct of the entire campaign.ha >> what do you think have been their main strengths and weaknesses?
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>> romney's main strength in the debates habeen that he has appeared in the debates with a consistency of message and demeanor that suggests thatbeheh person who would be the commander in chief does not appear temperamently to be thebe reckless person that the obama campaign would make him out to be. and i think as a result, the strength in governor romney was dispatching the caricature that w created very effectively by the democratic ads. and also, undercutting to some extent, the democratic inference that he was more likely to take the country into war. ed>> what do you think is his major strength? >> he'll say anything. so whatever the situation, he will be delighted to give an at answer which gets him through that moment and appeals to whever group he's talking to. at best, the 47% comment was an attempt to pander to that ev audience and not revealing behind closed doors who he really is. >> and what were obama's weaknesses throughout the debates?
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>> that he was unable to talk about how he would deal with what torpedoed him in his first term, which was the b ter partisanship. which meant that no mheter what he put forward, how good, how useful, how popular even with the country, that it would neveo go anywhere because that was the policy of the opposition, to stop everything dead in his track, to turn the filibuster cedure of to day p the senate, as opposed to the kind of things where you, you know, you break the glasayduring gl emergency. >> obama has the advantage that al goreltimately had in 2000 on the complex issue of what are the implications of el reducing the marginal tax rates by 20% and closing undisclosed loopholes. throughout the three major president debates, obama has driven the argument, you can't do it. first you have to tell us what the secret plan is.
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if it were desirable, you'd be disclosing it. so it's probably not so desirable. but secondly, you can't accomplish what you're proposing on the assumptions that you're offering without exploding the deficit or hurting the middle class. if on elecofon day people ask, "does that reonly add up?" the vote is far more likely to be a vote for obama.ly >> kathleen hall jamieson, marty kaplan, let's continue this conversation online. thanks for being with me. nkll.biy, >> you're welcome.ll >> and now for another reality check -- a far cry om the humbug and rhetorical static om afflicting our election campaigns. let's talk about something presidenobama and governor romney barely mentioned in their debates -- banking reform.at it's four years since the economic meltdown knocked america and the world to our knees, four years since that massive taxpayer bailout. but if you listened to the candidates, the enormity and
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severity of this continuing crisis hardly merit notice. barack obama pledges change but touts dodd-frank, a bulky, watered-down version of financial reform that scarcely makes a ripple in the vast sea of corruption and abuse. mitt romney campaigns as the banker's pal and says he'll make dodd- frank disappear altogether. if you're appalled by this, so is the man who held the thankless job of scial inspector general in charge of policing tarp, the bailout's ci troubled asset relief plan. before he signed on, neil barofsky was a federal prosecutor in new york chasing white-collar criminals and drug lords. he busted 50 members of a columbian guerrilla group deeply involved in narcotics trafficking. at tarp, he was assigned to ferret out waste, fraud and abuse. the banks didn't make it easy, and neither did the u.s. governnt. neil barofsky tells this story in his book, "bailout: an inside account of how washington
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abandoned main street while rescuing wall street." he is now a senior fellow and adjunct professor at the new york university school of law. neil barofsky, welcome. >> thank you. >> when you were a kid, did you say, "mom, dad, i want to grow up and be an inntector general?" >> no, i said i wanted to be a c lawyer, though. >> you did? >> it must be some sort of major genetic flaw i have. but my mom keeps a fortune cookie that aid, "you will be aa great lawyer one day." d i signed it and dated it. i think i was 12 years old. so there was something weird about me that i wanted to be a n lawyer. i wanted to be a prosecutor. i mean, that was sort of what i wanted to d maybe it's from watching tv shows, "perry mason," as a kid or something like that. but i was always drawn to the la and so i think i did have this drive for public service. but certainly never did think that i'd be an inspector general one day. i didn't really even know what that was until i actually got the job, to be honest with you. >> when you took the job, i read
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about you. and i thought, "why is someone like tha with that record of prosecution going to take on this job at this -- in the depth of this crisis?" >> part of it was because this new office, this office of the special inspector general for tarp, with the worst acronym in washington. >> it really is. >> sigtarp, was to have two focuses. one was the oversight function and doing reports and audits and keeping an eye on treasury and t making recommendations. but what i was more focused on in the beginning and what i thought my job would be is we also created a brand-new law enforcement agency, completely from scratch, whose job was to police the tarp program. and with $700 billion going out the door, thidea was that, inevitably, there were going to be criminal flies drawn to that honey. and our job was to catch them,id do the investigations, and then get the department of justice to prosecute them. so hereally looked at thirejob t going in as a law enforcement job. and i was thrilled with the opportunity to buildne from scratch.m but once i got down there --
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>> early 2008, wasn't it? 2008? >> i arrived in december 15, 2008. and the money started going out the door in late october of 2008. and what i saw was that there were tremendous opportunities for abuse. there were no conditions, no strings attached and conflicts of interest being baked into some of the programs. so i, doing what my job was as a former fraud prosecutor started pointing these out and making suggestions, recommendations to try to close these loopholes and make it less vulnerable to losses. and the response i got was remarkably eye-opening to me. i was told thamaybe my concerns were valid. t but i didn't need to worry about it, because these were banks. and these banks would neveri remember this quote, "risk their reputation by putting their own profits over the public purpose behind these programs." and to be very clear, this was told to me by paulson people under the bush administration and the same exact words were told to me by the geithner people under the obama administration.
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g t it was a remarkable thing to hear. because who could really believe that other than people who had come from these institutions. and my response, of course, is "where have you been for the last couple of years? what rock have you been under, that you haven't seen that these guys would sell their soul for a few basis points of profit?" that ideas like they wouldn't risk their repations or wouldn't embarrass themselves again, as bill dudley, the president of the new york fed said to me when i complained about relying too heavily on credit-rating agencie o this was the core ideology and approach onc how they viewed thh financial crisis. it wasn't the bank's fault. and if we could just trust them, we'll be in a good place again. >> and yet, there haven't be prosecutions have there, of these -- the people culpable for this crash? >> no, i mean, what our office did was to detect, prosecute, investigate, and refer for t prosecution those who tried to steal from the program. so we were blocked out of any activities that occurred before tarp. because we were -- our
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jurisdiction was limited to tarp. and we had great success. i think close to a hundred people, so far, have been charged for trying to rip off this program. we saved more than $500,000,000 of tarp money in just one investigatioalone. and the ceo who committed a multibillion dollar accounting fraud is now sitting in jail for 30 years. but we never had the opportunity, really, to dig into the financial crisis cases that led to thticause of the crisis. but there you are absolutely ca correct. no senior executive habeen held accountable under the criminal laws. >> why? >> there's no easy answe and it depends on who you ask. so if you were to talk to someone from the department of justice or wall street they wou tell you these are very complex issues. the president has mentioned that a lot of times it might be caused by greed or stupidity ort avarice but ot necessarily by t iminal conduct. if you were to talk to people on the other side, they would say we just have a hopelessly corrupt criminal justice system.
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i think the truth is a little bit more nuanced and a little bit in between. what i saw personally was a real timidity on behalf of the departnt of justice. juand a lack of sophistication d expertise, when looking at the complex accounting fraud cases that i was doing. and i think it's safe to presume that that also applied over l there to the crisirelated cases. but you also have to look into e the reality behind what those cases would mn.ld we just spent trillions of dollars of treasure, taxpayer money, an unbelievable amount of effort to save these financial instituons, save them from failure, because we believed that the failure of any one of i those wld bring down the entire economic system with it. they were too big to fail in ld 2008. they were too big to jail in 2009. >> i thought, at the time, this was an inceuous orgy going on there, between inside players at washington and inside players ao wall street. is that too strong?
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>> it's probably not too strong. it's the fact that their ideology matches up. and look, one of the reasons why their ideology matches up is they all come from the same small handful of institutions. and the people i was dealing with on a daily basis came from the same financial institutions that helped cause the financial crisis and were the most generous recipients of bailouts, goldman sachs, bear sterns, which, of course, had been adopted by j.p. morgan chase. goldman sachs, goldman sachs, it seemed like every time i turned around, i bumped into someone from goldman sachs. which is not to single them out. but they all bring that ideology with them, when they come to washington. it's not like somebody hits them in the head with a magic wand and they give back everything that they've learned and believed in their years of wall street. and they bring that ideology with them. and even those who don't come from a specific bank, when you surround yourself, create an echo chamber of likeminded people, it's not terribly surprising that the government policy looks a lot likehat the wall street institutions
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themselves would have most desired. and i think the other side effect of that is that people who are outside of that bubble, people who don'lihave that background, peoplhalike myself as a federal prosecutor or elizabeth warren, who was the chair of the conysessional oversight pan c and before that a harvard professor, that our views, our criticisms, our a contrary positions were discounted, mocked, ridiculed, insulted, cursed at, at times. because there was no -- didn't have the pedigree in their world to have a meaningful contribution. so what happens is that there's no new ideas that creep in. and you get this very uniform, very non-diverse approach to the problems of finance. >> it was puzzling to outsiders like me that you had tarp money being used to concentrate further the size of these banks. >> and the granddaddy of all those transactions, bank of america acquiring merrill lynch. and the important thing to remember here is this is not banks gone wild, banks taking the money and saying, "party time, we're going to consolidate."
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they did this with the encouragement of the government. and in bank of america, a little bitith a gun to the head to it complete that transaction. this was the government policy createby the architects, ben bernanke who is chair of federal reserve, tim geithner, who was a then the president of the new york fed befre becomingre treasury secretary, and hank paulson. their solution originally was to further concentrate the industry, to make the too big to fail banks bigger. the theory was you take a healthier bank and mix it up with a failing bank and yoget d something somewhere in betwe, et which is better overall for the system. which may have had some validity in the very, very short term, but has put us on a path, i believe, to being even more dangerous. because you have institutions now that are just monstrous in size, over $2 trillion in assets by certain measures, close to $4 trillion by other measures. terrifying. the idea that any of these institutions could ever be allowed to fail is pure fantasy, at this point.
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>> are youuggesting that we could have another crash?ug >> i think it's inevitable. i mean, i don't think how you can look at all the incentives that were in place going up to 2008 and see that in many ways they've only gotten worse and come to any other conclusion. >> what do you mean incentives in place? >> so in a normal functioning capitali utopia, where, you know, most markets are that don't have this too big to fail, n of government bailout if a firm like a citigroup amasses massive amounts of risk. and in so doing, they keep razor-thin capital to absorb potential losses, which basically means they're just borrowing tons and tons of money.n and not have a lot of their own money at stake, but it's mostly borrowed money. and it is very opaque. it's not very transparent about w they're running their business. you would expect that creditors, people lending them money, counrparties, those on the
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other sides of their transactions would either stay away or really exact a premium. but the presumption of bailout changes that on its head and actually makes it go in the other direction.rp so it removes the incentive of the other market participants to impose what's known market w scipline. because that's ideally in a s capitalist society what happens is that the lenders and creditors and counterparties say, "hey, we're not going to do business with you unless you clean house, slim down, be more transpare." but when there's a presumption of bailout, that disappears. because all thosother market players can feel safe in the presumption that if anything goes bad at citigroup, uncle sam is goi to come in and make their bets whole. then you have the very real incentive for the executives at that institution to then pile on risk. because they know that if the me bets go well in the short term, they get paid. and they get paid very richly. but if it blows up and the risks go bad, no worry, the taxpayer's going to be on the other side of that bill. that's what happened to fannie mae and freddie mac, before they collapsed.
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that's what happened to our biggest banks and global banks before they collapsed. and if you maintain that system, it is foolhardy to think that those incentives and essures es are not once again going to carry the day. >> at a conferce a week or so ago, here in new york, you said playing ball for wall street has nfcome a nor nl way of life, despite the panic of 2008. what does it mean, "playing ball for wall street"? >> well, what i saw when i ofs in washington was this real s pressure on myself, on other regulators to essentially keep their tone down. and i was told point blank by assistant secretaryf the treasury that, this is about in 2010. and he said to me, he said, "neil, you're a smart guy. you're a young guy. you're a talented guy.
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you got your whole future in front of you. you've got a young family that's starting out. but you're doing yourself real harm." and the reason why you're doing m is the harsh tone that i had towards the government as well as to wall he street, based on what i was seeing down in washington. and he told that if i wanted to get a job out on the street afterwards, it was going to really be hard for me. >> you mean on wall street? >> yes, and i exp tined to him that i wasn't really interested in that. and he said, "well, maybe a judgeship. maybe an appointment from the obama administration for a federal judgeship." and i said, "well, again, that would be great. but i don't really think that's going to happen with my criticisms." and he said it didn't have to be that way. "if all you do is soften your tone, be a lite bit more upbeat, all this stuff can happen for you." and that's what i meant by playing ball.mo i was essentially told, "play ball, soften your tone, and all of these good things can happen to you. but if you stay harsh that wa going to cause me real harm," in those words.t >> what made you able to say no
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to the temptation? >> well, i think part of it is the only job i ever wanted was to be a federal prosecutor. >> send bad guys to jail? > it doesn't get much better than that. really interesting, complicated work, and wear the white hat. so i didn't have those incentives that i think that were presented. and i think, look, you know, being trained in the u.s. attorney's office for the southern district of new york, i was trained to be a government employee and to take my oath of office very seriously. but i wasn't really interested in their reindeer games. and i felt a real obligation and sense of duty to fulfill the oath that i took in secretary paulson's office on december 15, 2008, to do the job that i was sent down there to do. but i wasn't really tempted with a big job on wall street. and frankly, if it meant getting a judgeship, compromising the job that i needed to do and was supposed to do, it just wasn't interesting to me. but look, let me be very clear. i also have the fallback of i was a trial lawyer. i prosecuted a lot of big cases. and i knew that whatever
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happened, i could always go back and get a good job in new yor y working at a law firm or doing legal work. so it gave me a degr of financial freedom even though ie basically spent most of my career as a government employee and i didn't have mone i didn't necessarily need to please anyone to be able to go back and still be able to feed my family. >> what happens to a litical society, to a democracy, when wi stifle or bribe or shoot the sheriff? >> when i h my incident with ci the assistant secretary that my deputy, who had come down from -- who's another former federal prosecutor, who did narcotics work, said to me, kevin puvalowski. and he said to me, "neil, you were just offered the bullet or the bribe, the gold or the lead." and what he was referring to was a society just like that, which was colombia, back in the day when pablo escobar and the drug kingpins really controlled society. and what he was referring to is that basically to corrupt society escobar would go to a magistrate or a police officer,
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police chief, a politician, and say, "you have two choices. you can either take this giant pile of money and do my bidding. or you can get the lead, a bullet in your head." and kevin was joking that i just received the washington ite it collar equivalent of the gold or the lead. and it was funny, at the time, but that's kind of what happens in a society where the rewards and incentives are, again, nobody's getting shot in the head thank goodness. but it's a breakdown of the system. and in some ways, it creates this false illusion that there are people out there looking out for the interest of taxpays, the checks and balances that are built into the system are operational, when in fact they're not. and what y're going to see and what we are seeing is it'll be a breakdown of those governmental institutions. and you'll see governments that continue to have policies that feed the interests of -- and i don't want to get cliched, but r the one percent or the .1% -- to
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the detriment of everyone else. >> you make it clear in the book that the obama administration fought against cutting down the size of these banks. and t, in the second debate with mitt romney the president said, "we passed the toughest wall street reform since the great depression." as i hear you, it wasn't all that tough. >> well, that's a literally true statement. because when you think of -- buh it's a very low bar to clear. i mean, all of the regulatory reform since the great depression has been peeling back on those regulations. with really the bithdeath knelln happening in the end of the clinton administration with, you know, a couple of bills, one that removed the last vestiges of the separation between commercial and investment banks. >> glass-steagall act? >> glass-steagall. >> it took down the wall between those two? >> the last part of it. and then the second part by passing a bill that made it, essentially made derivatives out of bounds for regulation. so saying that it's the toughest is literallytrue.tr
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the problem is it hasn't been tough enough in where it most matters. and again, you don't really have to take my word for it. you just look what the market has done. based on the presumptioof bailout, the banks get higher ratings from the credit rating agencies which means they can borrow money for less, because their debt is viewed by the credit rating agencies as being less risky. and they get these higher ratings on explicit presumption that the government will bail them out and make good on their debt. so it didn't deliver the goods ssere it matters the most. again, not saying that it doesn't have some good positive ings for our system and for people. but it didn't deliver the most important thing thaorwe need if d want to address the causes oo the last crisis and help prevent the next one. >> what will it take to prevent the next one? >> got to break them up. i mean, it is not a simple thing to accomplish, necessarily. but it's a very simple solution. and what you see, i think, kind of amazingly, is how many more people have come to this view over the st year or so. it used to be a lonely perch that we sat on. former special inspector st
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generals, a couple of academics. but now you have people like sandy weill, the architect of citigrou and sure, too little too late, after he made all of his money off creating these frankenstein monsters. but even he now recognizes that we have to break up the banks. you have senior officials at thr federal reserve recently coming out in favor of this, the vice chair of the fdic, a very strong advocate for breaking up the banks. and you hear it a lot more in members of congress that are supporting this notion.an so to me, on the one hand, it's absolutely essential. if we really want to get to the point where we don't have to bailout a bank, we have to make it so that no bank is so systemically significant and large that its failure could bring down the system. >> are they up to their old tricks? >> the banks? sure. i mean, you know, so we had this regulatory reform of dodd-frank in 2010, which, you know, left them intact and inside. but it had all of these rules and all of these regulations
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that needed to follow. and right now it is hand to hand, trench warfare, combat with those lobbyists spending all that money on campaign contributions, on, you know, flooding the decision makers and the regulators with comment letters and endless meetings. and pressuring members of congress to put pressure on the regulators, to water down the rules, to basically get as much back to the good old days where they would have free reign to print money, take advantage of their too big to fail status, bully and push out the little guys, take advantage of consumers. and that's what all of these efforts area about are to preserve these very, very core profit streams that they had before. and that's right now is where the battle is being waged. not on tv, you know, not necessarily out in front, but behind the scenes where the ne set of rules are being forged o what they're going to be able to o be oihow they're going able to do it. >> what are you hearing in the campaign about all this >> well, there's sort of two
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levels, right? there's the campaign rhetoric, which i think you just have to ignore. i mean, president obama, for th example, campaigned on this whole policy of no lobbyists. that he was going to take on these lobbyists when he came into office. that was in 2008. in january 2009, do you know who they made as the chief of staff for treasury department? former chief lobbyist for r goldman sachs, mark patterson. so like, so you've got to look beyond what they're saying. and what they're saying is things like they're both, 100%, totally convinced that they would never bailout a bank ever again. and barack obama says he wgo't do it because the hedd-frank mechanisms would work.th mitt romney is a little bit more mysterious. he says he would remove the regulatory reform and replace it with something else. but that he too would never bail out the banks again. which again, sounds great, and i'm sure if you were to ask president bush -- any time up until september of 2008, he would just as passionately tell you that he would never dream of bailinout the banks either.ou but tt's not realistic. if we're in a crisis, they're going to do exactly what they
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did in 2008. so you look to what are their policies? how are they going to accomplish that goal?t and neither one really offers anything. romney literally doesn't offer anything. we have no idea what his policies are. we don't know what that replacement is. but we do know, we hear him from interviews and some of his chief advisors, you know, say things like, against breaking up the nks through bringing back some of those deprnksion era laws or again one of his advisors recently said that he's againsti having size caps, which is another way breaking up the banks. by the way, two policies that are absolutely 100% identical with those of president obama and his adviy rs. so neither one really has a very clear path forward to achieve that goal of making it so that it's not necessary to bailout banks once again. >> is it too late to reverse course? >> no, it's not too late. my sincere hope is that we get it done before the next financial crisis, because i ad think that the nt one, given how big the banks have become
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and frankly how much less room we have because of the fiscal crisis, of dealing with the g giant financial, that it'll be more devastating. i hope we can do it before then. but frankly, the end game for re reform has to unfom unately be in the aftermath of the next crisis. >> in the meantime, i hope everyone reads "bailout: an inside account of how washington abandoned main street while rescuing wall street." neil barfsky, thank you very much for being with me. >> thank u fohafsr ngng me. >> that's all for this week. at our website, billmoyers.com, both conversations continue, with kathleen hall jamieson and marty kaplan and with neil barofsky. and in a web only interview, my colleague laura flanders talks with scholar, activist, and author peter dreier about california's controversial proposition 32 and peter's new book on progressives who have made a difference.
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that's at billmoyers.com. i'll see you there and i'll see that's at billmoyers.com. i'll see you there and i'll see you here, next time. -- captions by vitac -- www.vitac.com don't wait a week to get more miers. visit billmoyers.com. this episode of "moyers & company" is available on dvd. call 800-336-1917 or write to the address on your screen. funding is provided by carnegie corporation of new york, celebrating 100 years of philanthropy and committed to
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